North Texas Market Update: Collin, Denton, and Grayson Counties

July 1, 2026

What Today’s Numbers Could Mean for Your Next Move

Market updates can be useful, but I want to be real with you: broad numbers do not make decisions for you.


They can show where inventory is growing, where buyers may have more choices, and where homes are taking longer to sell. What they cannot tell you is whether your home is positioned correctly, whether the home you are considering is truly a good value, or whether now is the right time for your family to make a move.


That is why I look beyond the headline numbers.


A county may show more active listings, but that does not mean every buyer suddenly has the upper hand. The homes that are updated, priced correctly, in a strong location, and offer what buyers want can still move quickly. At the same time, a home may sit because it is overpriced, needs work, has a challenging layout, backs to a busy road, carries higher taxes or HOA dues, or simply has better competition around it.


That difference matters.


What Buyers Should Watch


More inventory can be a good thing. It may give you more time to compare homes, ask questions, negotiate repairs, or structure an offer with terms that protect you.


But do not confuse more listings with more good options.


You may see 20 homes online, but only a few may have the location, condition, school assignment, lot, layout, and monthly payment that truly fit your needs. When the right home comes along, it is important to know whether you should move quickly, negotiate firmly, or walk away.


Before you make an offer, I want you to know:

  • What similar homes have actually sold for—not just what sellers are asking
  • Whether the home has been sitting for a reason
  • How much competition exists in that specific neighborhood and price range
  • Whether the seller has already made price reductions or has room to negotiate
  • What terms could make your offer stronger without causing you to overpay


The goal is not just to get a house. The goal is to make a smart purchase you still feel good about after closing.


What Sellers Should Watch


Sellers should not assume a strong countywide statistic means every home will sell fast or for top dollar.


Buyers are paying attention. They are comparing photos, updates, floor plans, lots, location, taxes, HOA dues, school information, and the homes they can buy for the same money. They know when a home feels move-in ready, and they know when the price does not match the condition.


Before you list, we need to look at the homes buyers will compare directly to yours. Not every home in your ZIP code is competition. The real comparison is the homes with similar price, size, age, features, location, and buyer appeal.


That means looking at:

  • Active listings competing for the same buyer
  • Pending homes that show what buyers are choosing now
  • Recent closed sales that support the price
  • Price reductions, expired listings, and withdrawn listings
  • The upgrades, repairs, staging, and marketing details that could help your home stand out


Sometimes the best move is to list immediately. Sometimes the better move is to make a few strategic updates, adjust expectations, or wait for the right timing. I will tell you the truth either way.


Your Market Is More Specific Than a County Report


Collin, Denton, and Grayson Counties each include very different communities, price points, property types, and buyer pools.


A home in Allen, McKinney, Frisco, Prosper, Sherman, Denison, Van Alstyne, or Gunter is not competing in the same market simply because it is in the same county. Even neighborhoods a few miles apart can have different inventory, buyer demand, taxes, school assignments, HOA requirements, commute patterns, and resale considerations.


That is why I do not want you making a six-figure decision based on a generic online estimate or a countywide average.


Let’s Look at What This Means for You


Whether you are thinking about selling, buying, investing, relocating, or simply trying to make a plan, call me before you make a decision based on broad market numbers.


I will give you a hyper-local look at what is happening around your specific home or search area, including current competition, recent sales, pending contracts, price reductions, neighborhood activity, and the real factors affecting your value and timing.


You deserve more than a headline and a guess. Call Cindy Coggins for an honest, in-depth look at what this market may mean for you, your home, and your next move.


📞 Call or Text: (469) 499-7452
📧
Email:  cindycoggins@kw.com
See why so many clients trust us—check out our 5-star reviews on Google.

Source:
NTREIS market data, most recent available as of July 1, 2026. Figures shown are median values where applicable. Percentage changes reflect year-over-year comparisons.


Disclaimer:
Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. MLS data is continuously updated as listings are added, modified, or corrected and as properties change status or close. As a result, statistics, including year-over-year comparisons, may change after this report is generated and represent a snapshot of the market as of the date above. Data is provided for general market context only and should not be relied upon as a property-specific market analysis, appraisal, or as legal, tax, lending, insurance, or investment advice. Users should independently verify all information before making real estate or financial decisions.

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