November 2026 North Texas Housing Market Update: Collin, Denton & Grayson Counties

November 2, 2026

Collin County
Market Update by Price Range

Are Buyers Coming Back—or Is Something Else Happening?


Last month, we asked where all the buyers had gone.


This month, we're seeing some encouraging changes.


More homes went under contract in several price ranges across Collin, Denton, and Grayson counties compared with September.


But there's a catch.


Every price range we track still has fewer pending sales than it did a year ago.


And even where buyer activity is improving, that doesn't necessarily mean homes are becoming easier to sell.


Consider three examples:


In Grayson County under $250,000, pending sales jumped from 28 to 46 in just one month. But homes that closed took an average of 79 days to sell, compared with 50 days the previous month, and sold for just 90% of their final asking prices on average.


More buyers are making commitments, but sellers aren't necessarily getting the prices they hoped for.


In Collin County's $600,000–$799,999 range, there were 61 fewer active listings than last month. That sounds like good news for sellers—until you see that pending sales also fell, from 153 to 136.


Fewer homes to compete against don't help much if fewer buyers are making offers.


And in Denton County's $600,000–$799,999 range, active listings stayed at 939, but pending sales dropped from 110 to 94, while average days on market increased from 46 to 53.


The supply hasn't changed, but fewer buyers are committing, and the homes that sold took longer to find a buyer.


So is the market improving?


In some ways, yes. But not consistently—and not in every price range.

That's why broad labels like "buyer's market" or "seller's market" rarely tell the whole story.


The more useful question is: What's happening with homes like yours, in the area and price range where you actually want to buy or sell?


Below, we'll compare October's numbers with September and the same period last year, explain which changes matter, and look at what they could mean for your next decision.


The charts use the most recent completed monthly data available from North Texas Real Estate Information Systems, Inc. (NTREIS), covering October 2026 and available as of November 2, 2026.

Collin, Denton, and
Grayson Counties by Price Range

Homes Priced Under $400,000

More buyers are entering contracts, but completed sales haven't caught up.


Pending sales increased from 327 in September to 361 in October, a 10.4% improvement.


The year-over-year decline also moderated from 38.6% in our previous report to 23.7% now.


That's encouraging after last month's sharp drop in buyer commitments.


But closed sales fell 18.9% from September, and average days on market increased from 44 to 49.


Meanwhile, active listings rose from 1,918 to 2,012, bringing inventory to 4.1 months.


So buyers made more commitments during October, but sellers also faced more competition, and fewer transactions reached closing.


Because pending contracts generally take time to close, October's improvement may not appear in completed sales until a later report. Some contracts may also terminate before closing.


For sellers, the important question is what buyers are choosing right now.


Are updated homes attracting offers while properties needing significant repairs remain available? Are buyers responding to recent price reductions? Are certain neighborhoods seeing more activity than others?


Those details matter more than assuming every home under $400,000 will benefit equally from improved pending activity.


What to watch: Whether the increase in pending contracts produces stronger closings and whether inventory continues to grow.

Homes Priced $400,000–$599,999

Fewer competing listings aren't necessarily giving sellers stronger pricing power.


Active listings declined from 2,304 to 2,257, while pending sales increased slightly from 282 to 290.


But average days on market increased from 47 to 54, and the list-to-sale ratio fell from 95.2% to 93.8%.


Pending sales also remain 39.6% below last year's levels.


The important distinction is that fewer available homes don't automatically translate into stronger offers.


Imagine a seller who lists at $525,000 because a similar property sold near that price earlier in the year.


If today's buyers have several comparable homes with better updates, lower maintenance needs, or more attractive financing options, that earlier sale may not justify the same asking price.


The declining list-to-sale ratio suggests October's completed transactions closed farther below their final asking prices than September's did.


But it doesn't reveal whether sellers reduced prices before receiving offers or provided concessions elsewhere in the contract.


For someone preparing to sell, both the original and final asking prices of comparable properties deserve attention.


What to watch: Whether sellers continue accepting lower percentages of their final asking prices, particularly on properties that have already experienced price reductions.

Homes Priced $600,000–$799,999

The challenge here isn't an oversupply of homes. It's the decline in buyer commitments.


Active listings decreased by 61 from September, and inventory edged down from 5.2 to 5.0 months.


But pending sales fell 11.1% month over month and 42.4% year over year.


Days on market also increased from 48 to 53.


That combination raises an important question for sellers.


If fewer homes are available, why aren't more buyers committing?


The figures don't establish a single explanation. Buyers may be comparing monthly payments, property condition, location, or alternative homes in nearby communities.


But they do tell us that reduced competition alone hasn't strengthened activity.


This is where showing feedback and current competing listings can become useful.


A home receiving plenty of showings but no offers may face a different problem from one receiving very little interest at all.


The right response depends on understanding which situation applies.


What to watch: Whether reduced inventory eventually helps stabilize pending sales or whether the smaller buyer pool continues to outweigh the benefit of fewer competing listings.

Homes Priced $800,000 and Above

The luxury homes that sold moved faster, even though overall buyer activity remains weak.


Pending sales were nearly unchanged from September, moving from 94 to 93.


But compared with October 2025, pending sales are down 52.8%—the steepest annual decline among Collin County's four price ranges.


Meanwhile, days on market improved from 52 to 44, and inventory declined from 6.7 to 6.5 months.


Does that mean luxury homes are becoming easier to sell?


Not necessarily.


Days on market reflects the properties that successfully closed, not the homes still waiting for buyers.


At higher price points, differences in lot size, architecture, floor plan, updates, and location can be substantial.


Two homes listed at $1 million may appeal to very different buyers.


For a seller, a broad luxury-market average may be less informative than examining the handful of properties that compete directly with theirs.


And for buyers, weak overall pending activity doesn't guarantee a desirable property will remain available.


What to watch: Whether pending sales begin improving—not just whether the smaller group of homes that close continues selling relatively quickly.

Denton County
Market Update by Price Range

Homes Priced Under $400,000

This is a good example of why improving year-over-year percentages don't always mean more buyer activity.


Denton County recorded exactly 293 pending sales in both September and October.


Yet the year-over-year decline improved from 27.7% in the previous report to 24.7% now.


That's because each month is being compared with a different period from the previous year.


The actual number of pending contracts didn't increase.


Meanwhile, closed sales fell from 434 to 373, average days on market rose from 45 to 47, and inventory remained unchanged at 4.0 months.


The practical takeaway is that this segment has been relatively steady in terms of pending activity and months of inventory, even as completed transactions declined.


For buyers, four months of inventory doesn't suggest an overwhelming supply of options. A desirable property may still have competition.


For sellers, the market isn't showing a meaningful monthly increase in buyer commitments, so pricing should reflect current activity rather than relying on an improving annual percentage.


What to watch: Whether pending sales remain steady and whether the decline in completed sales continues into the next reporting period.

Homes Priced $400,000–$599,999

Buyer activity improved slightly, but sellers also gained more competition.


Pending sales increased from 224 to 233, a 4.0% monthly improvement.


At the same time, active listings rose from 1,908 to 1,944, and inventory increased from 4.8 to 5.0 months.


Closed sales declined from 283 to 264.


For someone shopping in this range, the growing supply may create additional opportunities to compare homes.


But the comparison shouldn't stop at the asking price.


This is especially relevant where resale properties compete with new construction.


A builder offering closing-cost assistance or an interest-rate incentive may change the buyer's upfront expenses or monthly payment.


On the other hand, an established resale property may offer completed landscaping, window treatments, improvements, or neighborhood characteristics that would represent additional expenses or trade-offs elsewhere.


Estimated property taxes, insurance, warranty coverage, maintenance, and financing terms also deserve consideration.


A buyer comparing two $475,000 homes may find that their actual ownership costs are quite different.


For sellers, knowing what competing properties offer is essential before deciding whether a price adjustment or another concession makes sense.


What to watch: Whether the increase in available homes leads to more price reductions or incentives, especially in areas with substantial new-construction competition.

Homes Priced $600,000–$799,999

The concern in this segment is slowing demand without an increase in available supply.


Active listings remained unchanged at 939.


But pending sales declined from 110 to 94, and closed sales fell from 122 to 107.


Days on market increased from 46 to 53.


Year over year, completed sales are down 31.0%, while marketing times are up 35.9%.


That combination deserves attention from homeowners who need to sell within a particular timeframe.


When fewer buyers are making commitments and homes are taking longer to sell, coordinating a sale with another purchase can become more complicated.


Financing arrangements, contract contingencies, moving schedules, and the possibility of carrying two properties may all need closer consideration.


This doesn't mean every seller should expect a lengthy marketing period.


But it does mean relying on how quickly a neighbor sold earlier in the year could create unrealistic timing expectations.


What to watch: Whether pending activity rebounds or whether sellers begin making more price and term adjustments to attract buyers.

Homes Priced $800,000 and Above

Pending sales are improving, even though completed transactions declined sharply.


Pending sales increased from 91 to 96, while closed sales fell from 134 to 102.


That's a 5.5% increase in contracts compared with September, but a 23.9% decrease in closings.


Meanwhile, active listings declined by 58, inventory fell from 6.5 to 6.2 months, and average days on market improved from 46 to 41.


Those figures offer a somewhat different picture from Denton's $600,000–$799,999 segment.


Although annual buyer activity remains weaker, October brought slightly more contracts, less available inventory, and shorter marketing times among completed transactions.


For buyers, this is a reminder that slower countywide sales don't necessarily mean a well-positioned home will sit indefinitely.


For sellers, studying recently pending properties may be particularly useful because they reflect buyer decisions made more recently than the contracts represented by closed sales.


What to watch: Whether the increase in pending sales continues and begins to support a higher number of closings.

Grayson County
Market Update by Price Range

Homes Priced Under $250,000

More homes are selling, but that doesn't necessarily mean sellers are getting stronger offers.


This segment experienced the most dramatic monthly improvement in our report.


Pending sales increased from 28 to 46, a 64.3% jump.


Closed sales rose from 54 to 77, up 42.6%.


Year over year, closed sales are now up 35.1%, compared with an 11.5% decline in the previous report.


Those increases are meaningful, although the relatively small transaction counts make percentage changes especially noticeable.


But the homes that closed took an average of 79 days to sell, compared with 50 in September.


The list-to-sale ratio also fell from 91.7% to 90.0%, the lowest among all twelve price ranges we track.


So more transactions are taking place, but the completed sales involved longer marketing periods and larger differences between final asking prices and sale prices.


One possibility is that pricing adjustments or negotiations are helping transactions move forward.


We can't establish that from these figures alone, but it would be worth examining individual listing histories.


For buyers in this price range, the apparent affordability of a home also needs to be considered alongside potential repairs.


A major roof, foundation, plumbing, electrical, or septic expense can represent a significant portion of the purchase price.


For sellers, addressing those concerns before listing—or accounting for them realistically in pricing—may influence whether buyers are willing to proceed.


What to watch: Whether the increase in transactions continues and whether the list-to-sale ratio begins improving, or whether larger price differences remain common among completed sales.

Homes Priced $250,000–$349,999

Fewer transactions are closing, but the homes that sell are moving faster and closer to asking price.


Closed sales declined from 50 in September to 37 in October.


Pending sales also slipped slightly, from 37 to 35.


Yet average days on market fell from 62 to 41, while the list-to-sale ratio improved from 91.6% to 93.8%.


Inventory remains elevated at 7.0 months.


This is very different from the neighboring under-$250,000 segment.


Here, fewer properties are closing, but those that did close performed better on two important measures.


Does that mean sellers are gaining negotiating power?


Not necessarily.


With only 37 closings, the characteristics of individual properties can have a noticeable influence on the averages.


For a homeowner considering selling, the next step would be to look closely at the properties that successfully closed.


Were they priced competitively from the beginning? Did they have newer major systems, better layouts, or more desirable locations?


Understanding what distinguished those homes from the remaining inventory may be more useful than the countywide average alone.


What to watch: Whether shorter marketing times and stronger sale-price performance continue as more transactions occur.

Homes Priced $350,000–$499,999

This price range had the strongest list-to-sale ratio in the entire three-county report—but there's an important limitation.


The ratio increased from 92.7% in September to 97.3% in October.


Average days on market also dropped from 66 to 43.


Those are substantial changes among completed sales.


Yet pending activity remained unchanged at just 23 contracts, and pending sales are still down 37.8% year over year.


Inventory stands at 7.2 months.


So although October's closed transactions performed well, there isn't enough evidence to conclude that the broader market has suddenly shifted in sellers' favor.


This is where original asking prices become especially important.


A home selling at 97% of its final list price may have been reduced several times before attracting an offer.


Without examining that listing history, the percentage alone tells only part of the story.


For buyers and sellers alike, this segment is a reminder that a strong-looking average can coexist with a relatively limited number of transactions.


What to watch: Whether the stronger list-to-sale performance continues, particularly among homes that have not needed previous price reductions.

Homes Priced $500,000 and Above

Buyer activity improved, but nearly twelve months of inventory remains the defining challenge.


Pending sales increased from 22 to 29, and closed sales rose from 27 to 30.


That's encouraging after months of elevated inventory.


But the amount of supply has barely changed.


Months of inventory increased from 11.7 to 11.8, while average days on market rose from 70 to 89.


The list-to-sale ratio also declined from 95.7% to 92.5%.


So more buyers entered contracts during October, but that improvement hasn't yet reduced the substantial amount of inventory.


This matters particularly for properties with acreage, custom construction, workshops, outbuildings, or other specialized features.


A property may be highly desirable to the right buyer while appealing to a relatively limited pool of people searching in that location and price range.


For sellers, understanding that buyer pool and competing properties becomes especially important.


For buyers, elevated inventory may create opportunities to negotiate, but acreage and specialized properties can introduce additional considerations.


Access, utilities, land use, maintenance, property improvements, and potential restrictions may all affect long-term suitability and cost.


What to watch: Whether the increase in pending activity continues long enough to meaningfully reduce inventory, or whether the market remains near a year's supply.

What Changed Since Last Month?

Grayson County experienced the clearest increase in both pending and closed sales.


Collin County recorded more contracts but fewer closings.


Denton County's pending activity was essentially unchanged, while completed sales declined.


That tells us buyer activity isn't moving in the same direction across the three counties.


But there is an additional consideration.


September and October are different points in the seasonal housing cycle. Changes from one month to the next can reflect normal seasonal patterns, differences in available properties, or individual transaction timing.


That's why we also compare each month with the same period from the previous year.


And on that measure, every price range still has fewer pending sales than a year ago.


The important question going forward is whether these recent improvements continue—and whether they begin to translate into stronger sales, shorter marketing times, or lower inventory.

What the Three
Counties Reveal Together

This month's report reminds us that more sales don't necessarily mean a stronger market, and fewer listings don't guarantee an easier sale.


A seller competing against four months of inventory faces different conditions from one with nearly twelve months of supply. But inventory alone doesn't tell us which homes buyers are choosing—or why.


For sellers, the important question is what buyers are responding to today. Which homes are going under contract? Which are sitting? Are price reductions or builder incentives influencing decisions? Even a strong list-to-sale ratio may hide earlier price reductions or negotiated concessions.


For buyers, more inventory may create opportunities, but a lower asking price doesn't always mean better value. Condition, repairs, taxes, insurance, and financing terms can substantially change the cost of ownership.


County statistics reveal trends, but they can't tell us everything about an individual property.


The numbers tell us where to look. The property-specific details help us understand what they mean.


Before You Make Your Next Move


Whether you're buying, selling, or simply watching the market, we can help you understand what's happening in the neighborhoods and price ranges that matter to you.


Considering selling? We can provide an honest, property-specific market review, including current competition, buyer activity, and potential pricing challenges.


Looking to buy? We can help you compare properties, evaluate ownership costs, and identify potential negotiating opportunities.


Not ready to move? We can set up a Neighborhood Market Watch so you can follow new listings, price changes, pending sales, and recent closings in the neighborhood or area that actually matters to you.


You don't need to make a decision today. Sometimes having the right information makes the next step much clearer.

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